If you are a natural pessimist, or from
Missouri, and you want to see it for yourself, you may want to pick up this
month's Money magazine. Inside,
they prove their four points: 10 In the last year, home prices increased in 92
of the country's 100 largest metro areas.
2) Homes are more affordable than any time in the last 40 years. 3) The number of houses for sale is the
lowest in a decade and possibly a generation. 4) Price increases are projected for most of the country in
2013.
Bank of America and Merrill Lynch's
analysts had the following statement, "We believe that the gain in home
prices can persist despite subpar economic growth this year...The combination
of low interest, high affordability, and improving expectations for home
prices, provide powerful momentum for the housing sector." Finally, the National Association for
Business Economics reported in HousingWire, "While Gross Domestic Product
(GDM) is expected to be negatively impacted by all the uncertainty surrounding
the nation's impending debt ceiling debate and risks of sequestration, the
housing market is expected to continue its upward trajectory."
These reports and analysis of the current
housing market may explain why so much cash is flooding the real estate
market. Many economist deem it the
safest bet for growth in the coming 3-5 years. This newsletter always touts the benefits of home ownership
and real estate investment. The
leveraging of your cash is the best feature. But return on investment is always a reason to look to the
market. Many who study the real
estate market are beginning to see signs of the start of the next upward
cycle. Don't expect it to be a
2002 through 2006 phenomenon.
Hopefully, we will never see that kind of bubble again, fueled by
improperly documented and ridiculous loan programs. But real estate has always been cyclical and this time
around is no different. Many
people try to figure out the exact moment it hits its low and the exact moment
to sell high. Applause to you if
you get it right, but for the rest of us, the question is, "Do current
market conditions benefit a buyer?
Low interest rates, a bottomed out prices, would evoke a positive yes
from this author. Sellers too, can
begin to see their equity returning and be motivated to sell now as well, to
take advantage of lower prices on their next purchase. Overall, you'd have to give a thumbs up
to at least considering a real estate investment, either a owner occupied home,
a second home, or an investment.
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