Monday, January 27, 2014
HAPPY NEW YEAR...WHAT TO EXPECT IN 2014
Most key analysts expect a slightly better market
in 2014 than we had in 2013. There
are several reasons for this; improved employment, better and easier financing,
a stabilizing economy with growth in the right direction and finally, a larger
and improved inventory. There is a
certain unknown quotient in a changing Fed Chairman, but by all accounts, Janet
Yellen's direction of the Fed aims to keep monetary policy, "highly
accommodative." In fact, it
appears that Yellen gets the fact that real estate drives the economy, and most
experts expect her, "to continue on Beranke's path," so stated Karl
Case, co-founder of the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index. Any projections of doom, are very
tempered, the only one found at press from economist Essie Adibi from Chapman
University, who said the probability for housing doom was "low." It would have to come, according to
him, from high inflation and low productivity, both of which are very long
shots. In fact, inflation has not
even been a blip on the economic screen and is not projected to occur in
2014. John Karevoll of DataQuick
foresees, "the welcome decline into deserved obscurity of real estate
naysayers and their canned think-tank narratives...the naysayers will become
irrelevant as they doubt the housing's continued march to more normal, positive
conditions. Good riddance to
them." Rather strongly
worded, but isn't it about time we stop doubting a shred of positive news and
rather, embrace our economy for what it is and settle our lives around it,
which includes buying homes for our families and our lives.
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