Monday, January 27, 2014
WHAT WERE THE TRENDS FOR SO CAL AND THE O.C.?
The housing numbers were off in November, the last
full month available, but there are several good reasons. First and foremost, inventory slipped
as demand outbid sellers entering the market. Secondly, investor transactions slowed down, and that is
actually is a good thing, for the owner occupied integrity of neighborhoods and
for the bidding wars to stop both run ups in pricing and frustration for bona
fide purchasers. Finally,
distressed properties really dropped off the radar, dropping what had been a
huge segment of the purchase market.
The frosting on the cake was the usual housing slow down at the
holidays. Expect a big engine to
start humming early, as many sellers waited for 2014 to put homes on the
markets. Financing may become
easier, and even though we've had some slight rises to interest rates, expect
them to stay under 5% for at least the first 2 quarters of 2014. But buyers will come to the market
place early to avoid higher rates.
So Cal, comprised of L.A., Ventura, O.C., Riverside, San Bernardino, and
San Diego had a total of 17,283 new and resale houses and condos. That was down 14.2% from October. The typical seasonal decline between
the 2 months is 7.6%. The median
price for all So Cal was up 19.9% from November 2012 and has risen for 20
straight months. To keep things in
perspective, this rise is still 23.8% below the highest high of spring/summer
2007.
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